It is probably best not to linger too long on victory, especially when there's another battle to be fought immediately, but dang after the miserable season with these best bets. . Whatever, I've taken too many L's this season to brag about a single week, but the .500 light at the end of the tunnel is palpable.And a shoutout to Pete Prisco for joining the club too. Congrats to and , who both had a perfect 5-0 week for in the ! Here's how the rest of the team fared in Week 11: OddsShark (@OddsShark) This week we're going to stick with a theme that helped us right the ship: We're going to take teams (or in this case THINGS) we trust. In a week where Vegas is offering up some ma sive spreads, daring the public to take the favorites, there is serious backfire potential because we are taking some teams with huge numbers.Also, two teams that are road chalk on Thanksgiving. WHAT CAN GO WRONG? Everything, really. But we have nothing to lose and everything to gain at this point. And, to me, the defining characteristic of the 2017 season has been a crop of teams emerging that are trustworthy from week-to-week. Let's grab some of these teams. -3 at A dangerous proposition taking a road favorite on a short week in a divisional matchup on Thanksgiving. The Lions consistently keep games close and they have the better quarterback in this matchup. is playing at an incredibly high level right now. Over the past four games he's completing 67 percent of his pa ses, averaging 333 pa sing yards and has seven touchdowns and no interceptions over that span. He's also averaging 9.87 yards per attempt. But he hasn't seen any great defenses in that stretch either, maybe outside of Pittsburgh Sam Darnold Jersey (where the Lions lost with their failure to convert in the red zone). The Vikings are the , and will present a major challenge for Stafford. They want revenge for their earlier lo s at home and for the lo s to the Lions on Thanksgiving last year. Oh, and don't sleep on the Vikings having the fourth-ranked offense by DVOA. is playing for his job every week. He has stepped up his game and he has playing like . -1 at More road chalk! Pump it into my veins like it's leftover gravy. The Chargers are 4-6, but they are better than their record. If you take away the record and start to look at their past five games, you see a team finding its groove. The Chargers beat the and in close games on the road, then subsequently sandblasted the at home 21-0. They would lose at New England (tough place to play, I hear) and then lose a heartbreaker against the in Jacksonville (seriously, a sneaky tough place to play these days). If that meltdown had been followed with another egg, I would go in on the Cowboys here, but the Chargers manhandled a team starting a rookie quarterback. They can dominate bad teams. The Cowboys are not a bad team, of course, but the Cowboys are a team that, right now, is not operating at 100 percent. They should get back, which is a ma sive help. But he's banged up -- how much can he really do to stop and ? absence is the real key here, because without him the Chargers are going to be able to dink and dunk acro s the middle all day. I like Los Angeles to come away with a win on the road and keep the playoff chatter going. -9.5 vs. It's a short week for Atlanta and a huge line here at home against a divisional foe, all of which are red flags. The Bucs are coming off two straight wins and people are praising for being an improvement over . I think they are anyway. It feels that way. They shouldn't be! He beat the (revenge game) and the (speed bump). They barely beat the Dolphins too. Atlanta is coming back from a long flight on a short week, but the Falcons are starting to find their rhythm on offense and the defense is playing much better as well. can limit , they can bottle up the run and take a bunch of shots down the field against a susceptible secondary to run away with this game and put them in prime position for a second playoff run in a row. -13.5 vs. This is a LAUGHABLE SPREAD. Two touchdowns and it's a best bet. Don't care. Again, teams I trust. Maybe Philly is due for a letdown, but it is beating teams by an average -- AN AVERAGE -- of more than 22 points over its past five games. and blow people out, because if they get a lead -- and they should be able to get one over Chicago -- they can pin their ears back with the best defensive line in football and ratchet up the tension on the quarterback, in this case on the road as a rookie. and are hammers against any defense and they just wear people down. Eagles cruise by 20-plus points here. +3 vs. This is not a "team" I trust so much, because I don't trust the Colts at all. But I also don't trust the Titans, who are just not great at this point. But I'm banking on playing (oh boy he needs to play) here and hooking up with T.Y. Hilton a couple of times deep. This reeks of a game where Hilton puts up some kind of monster seven-catch, 245-yard, two-touchdown effort and people shrug their shoulders and wonder about the AFC South again. The Titans were just exposed by Pittsburgh so they might be a little desperate, but I'm not sure they're good. In a similar spot last season, the Colts upended them in Indianapolis and they had the bye week to prepare for this. Gut feeling that they win outright. 5-023-32-110-3- Stephon Gilmore Jersey 1 78-76-6
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